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September 9, 2026
Decomposing 60/40

With interest rates on the rise from who-can-be-sure-of-what (we have our thoughts...), bond prices are generally on the downtrend. But bond income (from the now generally higher yields) is on the rise. We therefore have once again entered the “60/40 Portfolio is Dead!” phase of the interest rate cycle. These generally lazy takes often fail […]

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July 19, 2026
Challenging Bias

The past decade has not been particularly kind to diversifiers; a handful of large U.S. growth stocks generally outperformed international stocks, smaller companies and Value-oriented investments. As the gap widened, diversification may have looked less like prudent risk management and more like an unnecessary constraint. But recent strength across formerly lagging market segments offers a […]

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May 19, 2026
What Am I Missing?

When you invest in a specific stock, sector, theme (or meme), you’re basically saying you think it’s a better bet than all the other options out there. That is, any choice to invest in one thing is at the same time a choice not to invest in all other things. How sure can you be […]

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March 8, 2026
This Is Risk

Global equity markets have seen increased volatility as the war in Iran has prompted regional contagion. A consequent surge in oil prices has lifted concerns that cost-of-energy flow-through will lift going-forward inflation; the rise in interest rates that has come as a result has pressured bond markets. But the Iran war is only the latest […]

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February 28, 2026
The Risk of Being Wrong

This month, I push back against the extremes.

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January 27, 2026
Tilting Against the Tide

We’ve written often of our preference for “factor” investing in equities, an approach that leads us to variously “tilt” portfolios toward characteristics that reflect observable “risk premia” in that they can be seen to have led to outperformance over time. There’s no guarantee that outperformance will come, though; there’s a risk that the premium won’t […]

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