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From the Investment Team

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March 8, 2026
This Is Risk

Global equity markets have seen increased volatility as the war in Iran has prompted regional contagion. A consequent surge in oil prices has lifted concerns that cost-of-energy flow-through will lift going-forward inflation; the rise in interest rates that has come as a result has pressured bond markets. But the Iran war is only the latest […]

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February 28, 2026
The Risk of Being Wrong

This month, I push back against the extremes.

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January 27, 2026
Tilting Against the Tide

We’ve written often of our preference for “factor” investing in equities, an approach that leads us to variously “tilt” portfolios toward characteristics that reflect observable “risk premia” in that they can be seen to have led to outperformance over time. There’s no guarantee that outperformance will come, though; there’s a risk that the premium won’t […]

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December 22, 2025
Wade or Jump?

Regularly investing over time may allow one to take advantage of market volatility, rather than simply suffer it. As stocks bounce up and down, investors may find that market drawdowns present opportunities to invest at lower prices. Perhaps easy to default, then, to a dollar cost averaging plan (DCAP)—the practice of investing a particular sum […]

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November 3, 2025
"AI" Already Means Nothing

Seems not since the Tech Bubble of 2000-01 have we experienced such a rapid shift from “meaningful advance in technology” to rampant hype bordering on hysteria. Now ubiquitous, “AI” dominates the empty boilerplate phraseology of executives and pundits—however hollowly—seeking to convey techno-sophistication and endless promise. Finding the memetic expansion unprecedented and becoming ever more lacking […]

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September 26, 2025
“No Risk-Free Path”

Responding to a reporter’s question regarding the Federal Reserve’s going-forward efforts to balance the risk of weaker employment against that of growing inflation, Chairman Powell stated, “We have a situation where we have two-sided risk, and that means there’s no risk-free path.” That two-sided risk scenario always exists, of course, but managing against both of […]

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