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From the Investment Team

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March 10, 2025
Cost of Relative Safety

Much as we figured in last month’s commentary, market volatility has only increased as the current administration has sought to implement its domestic and geopolitical agendas. Hard to tell what’s driving the turbulence, though we’d have to think that folks are more concerned about the potential for tariff policy to upset the domestic growth cart. […]

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February 3, 2025
Tariff-Eyeing Market Moves

With the new U.S. presidential administration comes a range of distinct methods of governing. Among that list is a seemingly blunt-force approach to trade management that over the past few days has resulted in more than a few market gyrations. We could discuss the specifics, but as soon as we might, they’re likely to change. […]

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January 27, 2025
Surprised? Shouldn't Be...

At today’s close, shares in U.S. chipmaker Nvidia Corp (NVDA) are off just under 17% after Chinese generative artificial intelligence (genAI) startup DeepSeek released an update to its large language model (or LLM, in shorthand the technology that provides the underpinnings of genAI capabilities). The update purports to radically reduce the cost of building and […]

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January 8, 2025
2024 Year in Review

Stocks roared higher in 2024, with growth stocks in the U.S. finding particular strength as the year wore on. Meantime, international equities generally suffered from weaker local returns and a stronger U.S. dollar. Investors betting on a broadly lower (and flatter) yield curve during the fourth quarter saw the opposite as longer-term yields rose, even […]

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December 19, 2024
Value Intelligence

Our experience during the various boom-bust cycles of this millennium suggests themes built upon the sandy ground of indefensible valuations eventually erode. Relative gains may come, then, from having more heavily emphasized those stocks with sounder footings. Here again, the current environment presents value-minded U.S. equity market investors with a conundrum: Compared to…? It’s become […]

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November 11, 2024
Magnificent Expectations

Over the next few weeks, attention almost assuredly will remain focused on the potential ramifications of the incoming Trump presidency. With policy specifics still light, we’ll offer what we find a more immediately relevant review of U.S. stocks: their present collective valuation. By most any measure, U.S. stocks are more expensive than they have been […]

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