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From the Investment Team

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August 31, 2018
Mileage Varies

Lots of folks talking about how long-in-the-tooth is this bull market. Some conclude the end is near. Others see room to run. Regular readers hopefully can guess what we think. Regardless how one determines bull markets, neither its eventual length, nor the length and depth of the drawdown that succeeds it are determinable in advance. […]

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August 7, 2018
OK Missing Out

Fairly common to hear folks gabbing about how great a stock they own has performed. Common, too, having missed out on the run to the peak, the schadenfreude of those who avoided the downfall of former big winners. A recent example, we all might like to have seen our individual portfolios achieve gains like the […]

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July 18, 2018
Q2 2018: Quarter in Review

The second quarter proved mostly unexceptional. Sure, we could point to headlines and such, intimating at some connection between how markets reacted and reflecting on the performance of our models amidst those reactions. But, as we often note, such comments would be more conjecture than conviction. Besides, there really wasn’t much in the way of […]

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July 6, 2018
Duck on Water

We attempt as often as we can to resolve many of the mysteries surrounding investment management and our version of it. Not always an easy task, as popular culture has left many with impressions far removed from the normal day-to-day activities that comprise our work. Rare is the frantic emotion suggested by cable financial news. […]

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June 8, 2018
A Future None Divined

With the large-cap-stock focused S&P 500 Index now up 4.8% year-to-date, after its 21.8% jump in 2017 and its rarely interrupted run since the depths of the Great Recession, admonitions regarding the unsustainability of domestic equity market valuations are growing in number and volume. While we cannot argue statements of fact—that the immense gains have […]

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May 6, 2018
Range of Outcomes

Fundamental to our approach to investment management is the acknowledgement that with most any increase in expected return, we also must expect an increase in risk. It is the balance between the two that we seek to match with client financial situations and goals. To help find that appropriate balance, we often turn to historical […]

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